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Alaska Tobacco Facts

By Mike Carney, April 29, 2004

 


I am by no means a mathematician but it appears to me from these numbers that somebody is not being truthful when engaging in public testimony and lobbying for legislation.

 

689,179,812 = Total 2002 Alaskan Medicaid expenditures according to Kaiser Health Foundation.

 

60,000,000= Total state Medicaid program smoking costs each year according to tobacco free kids web site.

 

26%   Adult Cigarette Smoking Rate for Total Population, 2001 (H.J Kaiser Health Foundation)

 

74%   Adult Non-Smoking Rate for Total Population,2001

 

If anything, these numbers show the opposite of what we are led to believe as “Fact”.

 

If I am calculating correctly, smoking related illness actually costs us LESS per person than non-smoking. Please correct me if I am wrong.

If 26% of people smoke yet LESS THAN 10% of costs are smoking related, does that not mean that the other 90% is spent on people that DO NOT SMOKE or are NOT SMOKING related?

 

Even if you use the made up figure (that can not be backed up by fact) of 146,000,000, that’s still LESS THAN 25%.

 

So if these numbers are true, Non-smoking costs us 629,000,000 for NON-SMOKING related illness or about $968 each person assuming 650,000 Alaska residents.

 

650,000 residents divided by 26% = 169,000 Smokers

60,000,000 divided by 169,000 smokers =$355 per smoker

 

Alaskan Smokers Paid: 

24,251,000= 2003 tobacco settlement dollars

40,400,000= 2002 State tobacco tax revenue (I do not have the 2003 numbers but I’ll assume it’s close to this)

64,651,000= Total revenue paid by smokers or $382 per smoker.  

 

As you can see the cost $355 per smoker is LESS than the $382 that each smoker pays.

 

Looks to me that smokers actually made the State nearly $5,000,000. So who is telling the truth? Why are we trying to raise tobacco tax again?  If smokers cost us 60 million and smoke about 35,000,000 packs of cigarettes a year, isn't that about $1.70 per pack? Where does this "it costs us $6.00 per pack" "fact" come from? Smokers already cover their expense in current taxes and settlement dollars. Smokers already pay about $1.84 per pack...again greater than the cost to the State of Alaska. This tax is not justified. This bad legislation is not based on truth and will unfairly tax 26% of Alaskans and possibly make criminals out of some of them.

 

Sources:

 

Kaiser Family Foundation “State Health Facts” http://www.statehealthfacts.kff.org/cgi-bin/healthfacts.cgi?

Alaska Tobacco Free Kids “Tobacco Tax Facts” http://aktobaccofreekids.org/Tax%20Facts.htm

 


 

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